US Presidential Election: America is going to elect the next President on November 5. In the electoral fray are Donald Trump from Republican and Kamala Harris from Democratic. The presidential election has taken an exciting turn. There is a neck-and-neck competition between the two candidates.
President Joe Biden withdrew his candidature in July, he has supported Vice President Kamala Harris. If Kamala wins, it will be the first time in the history of America that a woman will become President. At the same time, if Trump wins this election, it will be his second term. But the most important thing is to understand who has the upper hand in this election.
Harris ahead in national surveys
Kamala Harris entered the presidential election at the end of July. After supporting Joe Biden, it seems that Kamala is the only one who has the upper hand in the US election. She is constantly defeating Trump and moving ahead. She has been ahead of Trump in average popularity in almost every survey. After the debate on September 10, it seems as if Kamala’s star has risen even higher. After the television debate in Pennsylvania, Kamala’s popularity increased from 2.5 percent to 3.3 points within a week. However, this was not in favor of Trump in the debate.
How important are national surveys
? Although national surveys are useful for gauging the overall popularity of candidates, they cannot accurately predict election results because of the US electoral college system. This system allocates a total of 538 electoral college votes, with candidates needing 270 to win. Each state has a number of votes based on its population, but most states usually vote for the same party, meaning that only a few states decide which candidates win in an election.
Tough competition in states:
The current seven states are considered battlegrounds in terms of elections. In these states, a close contest is being witnessed between Harris and Trump. There is a difference of only one or two percent between the two. Among these states, Pennsylvania is considered very important. These states have the highest number of electoral votes. Before Biden withdrew his nomination, Trump was trailing by 5 points.
Kamala changed the atmosphere
Kamala Harris has changed the electoral mood to a great extent since becoming the Democratic candidate. Since the beginning of August, she has been leading Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. These seven states are California, Texas, Florida, New York, Illinois and Pennsylvania. In 2016, these states were Trump’s strongholds. Biden also took a lead in these states before registering a victory in 2020. If Kamala succeeds in doing so this year, she will definitely be a contender for the presidency.
